ISEI SURABAYA KOORDINATOR JAWA TIMUR

ISEI SURABAYA

IKATAN SARJANA EKONOMI INDONESIA CABANG SURABAYA

JURNAL ILMIAH

FAKTOR – FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TABUNGAN DOMESTIK DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1975 – 1997( Pendekatan Error Corection Model )

FAKTOR – FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TABUNGAN DOMESTIK DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1975 – 1997( Pendekatan Error Corection Model )

Penulis: Lumadya Adi – Universitas Dr. Soetomo Surabaya [ 25/6/2007 ]

Many variables have impact on domestic saving. How are actually the impacts of government foreign debt, private foreign debt, export, foreign direct investment, and gross domestic product to domestic saving I Indonesia in the short ? run and long run relationship.
The objective of this research is to examine the impact of some variables on domestics saving, especially government and private foreign debt in the short ? run and long ? run relationship.
The tool of analysis is dynamic modeling : Error Correction Model ( ECM ). This Model incorporates short ? run and long ? run relationship between independent and dependent variables.
The result of this research are : (1) the impacts of government foreign debt, private foreign debt, gross domestics product, foreign direct investment are not significant on domestics saving in the short ? run, meanwhile export is significant ; (2) the impact of government foreign debt, private foreign debt, gross domestics product and foreign direct investment are not either significant on domestic saving in the long ? run, meanwhile export is significant.

Keywords : domestics saving, error correction model, foreign direct investment,
government foreign debt, private foreign debt.